Voidly Atlas Trajectory Forecast v1 (Seq2Seq, 30-day)

Version: v1 | License: CC BY 4.0

Seq2seq trajectory model emitting a 30-day predicted risk trajectory per country, rather than a single-horizon point estimate.

Eval

Metric Value
loco_median_auc 0.7400

Honest caveats

  • Median LOCO AUC 0.74 — between single-horizon 7d (0.88) and 30d (0.84) and below them; trajectory output is more interpretable but loses calibrated edge.
  • Surface this as a UI-side trajectory plot, NOT for hard threshold-crossing alerts.

Citation

@misc{voidly_voidly_forecast_trajectory_v1,
  title  = {Voidly Atlas: voidly-forecast-trajectory-v1 (v1)},
  author = {Voidly},
  year   = {2026},
  url    = {https://huggingface.co/emperor-mew/voidly-forecast-trajectory-v1},
  note   = {Open censorship-research ML stack. CC BY 4.0.}
}
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