Voidly Atlas Trajectory Forecast v1 (Seq2Seq, 30-day)
Version: v1 | License: CC BY 4.0
Seq2seq trajectory model emitting a 30-day predicted risk trajectory per country, rather than a single-horizon point estimate.
Eval
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
loco_median_auc |
0.7400 |
Honest caveats
- Median LOCO AUC 0.74 — between single-horizon 7d (0.88) and 30d (0.84) and below them; trajectory output is more interpretable but loses calibrated edge.
- Surface this as a UI-side trajectory plot, NOT for hard threshold-crossing alerts.
Citation
@misc{voidly_voidly_forecast_trajectory_v1,
title = {Voidly Atlas: voidly-forecast-trajectory-v1 (v1)},
author = {Voidly},
year = {2026},
url = {https://huggingface.co/emperor-mew/voidly-forecast-trajectory-v1},
note = {Open censorship-research ML stack. CC BY 4.0.}
}
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